Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 114.046623 125.528967 137.217035 149.979009 163.495524 177.359930 192.630922
2025-11-16 91.356015 107.977076 125.652392 145.738332 167.822026 191.259257 217.909980
2025-11-23 76.196598 96.388880 118.754784 145.094457 174.999765 207.649103 245.739578
2025-11-30 67.036624 90.217827 116.844364 149.177940 186.882637 228.998816 279.136383
2025-12-07 58.469791 83.629658 113.558309 150.954388 195.629578 246.548987 308.234100
2025-12-14 50.229085 76.441975 108.731522 150.205595 200.891424 259.743143 332.169595
2025-12-21 44.653898 71.953489 106.658520 152.324169 209.226327 276.329887 359.989956
2025-12-28 40.946201 69.472043 106.763405 156.864724 220.325977 296.136180 391.661366
2026-01-04 36.995635 66.209247 105.499368 159.386418 228.739197 312.616821 419.375837
2026-01-11 33.999611 63.957917 105.313649 163.092445 238.504385 330.693398 449.049195
2026-01-18 31.106236 61.543340 104.664021 166.002142 247.141165 347.341162 477.025596
2026-01-25 25.836028 54.948248 97.720593 160.076735 244.058981 349.167065 486.647879
2026-02-01 21.865454 50.002838 92.842821 156.772172 244.324453 355.250467 501.733191
2026-02-08 19.047501 46.627364 90.012338 156.114327 247.972945 365.588273 522.173284
2026-02-15 17.018702 44.369642 88.684784 157.452720 254.232799 379.273321 546.897266
2026-02-22 16.092450 43.995215 90.203665 162.867983 266.060324 400.240118 580.990831
2026-03-01 14.641116 42.457396 89.766539 165.351671 273.843379 415.972400 608.514677
2026-03-08 12.775223 39.857062 87.430274 164.879999 277.441478 426.181491 628.988217
2026-03-15 11.620006 38.535672 87.080961 167.307297 285.051442 441.689749 656.337241
2026-03-22 10.981863 38.226361 88.384153 172.230702 296.201975 461.958389 689.950413
2026-03-29 10.053251 37.150309 88.293962 174.963574 304.231335 478.092837 718.275264
2026-04-05 9.388032 36.578569 89.020298 178.930874 314.023594 496.621109 749.788867
2026-04-12 8.656629 35.745201 89.219805 182.037851 322.578697 513.521038 779.255540